This study looks at the current and projected prevalence of Parkinson's in the USA. Although the sources of data vary substantially, the authors do a good job of combining estimates and provide clear discussion for why estimates from some sources may lack precision. This kind of work is essential for planning health care resources, now and in the future. It also puts into sharp focus the increasing burden of disease and what neuroprotective therapies would mean in the fight against the rising tide....
Alastair Noyce
NPJ Parkinsons Dis. 2018 Jul 10;4:21. doi: 10.1038/s41531-018-0058-0. eCollection 2018.
Marras C, Beck JC, Bower JH, Roberts E, Ritz B, Ross GW, Abbott RD, Savica R, Van Den Eeden SK, Willis AW, Tanner CM; Parkinson’s Foundation P4 Group.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6039505/
Estimates of the prevalence of Parkinson's disease in North America have varied widely and many estimates are based on small numbers of cases and from small regional subpopulations. We sought to estimate the prevalence of Parkinson's disease in North America by combining data from a multi-study sampling strategy in diverse geographic regions and/or data sources. Five separate cohort studies in California (2), Minnesota (1), Hawaii USA (1), and Ontario, Canada (1) estimated the prevalence of PD from health-care records (3), active ascertainment through facilities, large group, and neurology practices (1), and longitudinal follow-up of a population cohort (1). US Medicare program data provided complementary estimates for the corresponding regions. Using our age- and sex-specific meta-estimates from California, Minnesota, and Ontario and the US population structure from 2010, we estimate the overall prevalence of PD among those aged ≥45 years to be 572 per 100,000 (95% confidence interval 537-614) that there were 680,000 individuals in the US aged ≥45 years with PD in 2010 and that that number will rise to approximately 930,000 in 2020 and 1,238,000 in 2030 based on the US Census Bureau population projections. Regional variations in prevalence were also observed in both the project results and the Medicare-based calculations with which they were compared. The estimates generated by the Hawaiian study were lower across age categories. These estimates can guide health-care planning but should be considered minimum estimates. Some heterogeneity exists that remains to be understood.