Treat the person not the scan

When learning clinical medicine, (junior) doctors can often show an over-reliance on blood tests and scans, rather than focussing on the patient and their holistic care. This can lead in turn to more intensive investigation, which is both costly and incurs extra risk, as well as in turn creating more ‘abnormal results’.

An important report has been published in pre-symptomatic Alzheimer’s this week, in the journal Lancet Neurology. The research team at the Salpêtrière Hospital in Paris studied over 300 older adults with subjective, but no objective, memory complaints. The participants completed detailed neuropsychological and cognitive assessment, structural and functional brain scans (MRI and PET), brain-wave tests (EEG), genetic testing and lumbar punctures. These tests were repeated every 6-12 months for over 2 years. They set out to see if they could identify particular markers that would identify who would develop prodromal Alzheimer’s. They separated their cohort into two groups: one with normal amyloid scans and one with evidence of amyloid build up in the brain. (Amyloid is one of two major abnormal proteins that are thought to cause this form of dementia)

With two years of follow up, only four individuals converted to prodromal Alzheimer’s. All four had some evidence of amyloid build up at the beginning of the study, although with such small numbers it is difficult to say this wasn’t due to chance. All four were also older than most (average age 80.2 years compared to 76.8 years), and ¾ had the genetic variant that confers the highest risk of Alzheimers, APOE-ε4, compared to 33/83 who were tested and didn’t progress. Importantly, evidence of amyloid in the brain did not seem to be a good discriminator for likelihood of progression from ‘the worried well’ to prodromal Alzheimers. In fact, the strongest findings from this study were that CSF and imaging markers of increased amyloid were associated with each other!

What does this mean for Parkinson’s? Firstly, we don’t have an equivalent brain scan, i.e. one that shows build up of α-synuclein with which to predict risk. Secondly, with these complex conditions one marker that doesn’t test the function of the individual will be hard pressed to be hugely predictive. Thirdly, one of the biggest limitations of this study is that the follow up was only 2 years. Given all these individuals had normal memory at the beginning, and most were highly educated, it is perhaps not suprising that so few converted to the prodromal stage.

This figure is worth considering as an alternative model of thinking about the earliest stages of Alzheimer’s and perhaps Parkinson’s

Two hypothetical models of the natural history of Alzheimer's disease

(A) Model 1 illustrates the dominant view of progressive deterioration: in Alzheimer's disease, cognition is progressively impaired from the preclinical phase (characterised by amyloid β deposition followed by tau pathology), to the prodromal clinical stage (with subtle cognitive changes), then the clinical stages of MCI and dementia. (B) Model 2 represents an alternative view of preclinical compensation that we have based on our data for brain β-amyloidosis. Cognition remains stable in the preclinical phase of the disease despite underlying brain lesions, until brain compensatory mechanisms are overwhelmed, leading to clinical disease. MCI=mild cognitive impairment. AD=Alzheimer's disease.

RNR

Cognitive and neuroimaging features and brain β-amyloidosis in individuals at risk of Alzheimer's disease (INSIGHT-preAD): a longitudinal observational study.

Bruno Dubois et al

Lancet Neurology 2018, 17 (4), 335-346

http://www.thelancet.com/journals/laneur/article/PIIS1474-4422(18)30029-2/fulltext?%7B$trackingTag%7D

BACKGROUND:Improved understanding is needed of risk factors and markers of disease progression in preclinical Alzheimer's disease. We assessed associations between brain β-amyloidosis and various cognitive and neuroimaging parameters with progression of cognitive decline in individuals with preclinical Alzheimer's disease.

METHODS:The INSIGHT-preAD is an ongoing single-centre observational study at the Salpêtrière Hospital, Paris, France. Eligible participants were age 70-85 years with subjective memory complaints but unimpaired cognition and memory (Mini-Mental State Examination [MMSE] score ≥27, Clinical Dementia Rating score 0, and Free and Cued Selective Reminding Test [FCSRT] total recall score ≥41). We stratified participants by brain amyloid β deposition on18F-florbetapir PET (positive or negative) at baseline. All patients underwent baseline assessments of demographic, cognitive, and psychobehavioural, characteristics, APOE ε4 allele carrier status, brain structure and function on MRI, brain glucose-metabolism on18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (18F-FDG) PET, and event-related potentials on electroencephalograms (EEGs). Actigraphy and CSF investigations were optional. Participants were followed up with clinical, cognitive, and psychobehavioural assessments every 6 months, neuropsychological assessments, EEG, and actigraphy every 12 months, and MRI, and18F-FDG and18F-florbetapir PET every 24 months. We assessed associations of amyloid β deposition status with test outcomes at baseline and 24 months, and with clinical status at 30 months. Progression to prodromal Alzheimer's disease was defined as an amnestic syndrome of the hippocampal type.

FINDINGS:From May 25, 2013, to Jan 20, 2015, we enrolled 318 participants with a mean age of 76·0 years (SD 3·5). The mean baseline MMSE score was 28·67 (SD 0·96), and the mean level of education was high (score >6 [SD 2] on a scale of 1-8, where 1=infant school and 8=higher education). 88 (28%) of 318 participants showed amyloid β deposition and the remainder did not. The amyloid β subgroups did not differ for any psychobehavioural, cognitive, actigraphy, and structural and functional neuroimaging results after adjustment for age, sex, and level of education More participants positive for amyloid β deposition had the APOE ε4 allele (33 [38%] vs 29 [13%], p<0·0001). Amyloid β1-42concentration in CSF significantly correlated with mean18F-florbetapir uptake at baseline (r=-0·62, p<0·0001) and the ratio of amyloid β1-42to amyloid β1-40(r=-0·61, p<0·0001), and identified amyloid β deposition status with high accuracy (mean area under the curve values 0·89, 95% CI 0·80-0·98 and 0·84, 0·72-0·96, respectively). No difference was seen in MMSE (28·3 [SD 2·0] vs 28·9 [1·2], p=0·16) and Clinical Dementia Rating scores (0·06 [0·2] vs 0·05 [0·3]; p=0·79) at 30 months (n=274) between participants positive or negative for amyloid β. Four participants (all positive for amyloid β deposition at baseline) progressed to prodromal Alzheimer's disease. They were older than other participants positive for amyloid β deposition at baseline (mean 80·2 years [SD 4·1] vs 76·8 years [SD 3·4]) and had greater18F-florbetapir uptake at baseline (mean standard uptake value ratio 1·46 [SD 0·16] vs 1·02 [SD 0·20]), and more were carriers of the APOE ε4 allele (three [75%] of four vs 33 [39%] of 83). They also had mild executive dysfunction at baseline (mean FCSRT free recall score 21·25 [SD 2·75] vs 29·08 [5·44] and Frontal Assessment Battery total score 13·25 [1·50] vs 16·05 [1·68]).

INTERPRETATION:Brain β-amyloidosis alone did not predict progression to prodromal Alzheimer's disease within 30 months. Longer follow-up is needed to establish whether this finding remains consistent.

FUNDING:Institut Hospitalo-Universitaire and Institut du Cerveau et de la Moelle Epinière (IHU-A-ICM), Ministry of Research, Fondation Plan Alzheimer, Pfizer, and Avid.