PLAIN ENGLISH: Gout and the risk of Parkinson's disease in older adults

First blog post of the year from me and, after feedback from literally everyone, I will be making a concerted effort to make them easy (easier) to understand. I can't get rid of the science I'm afraid... after all this is a research blog. But I (and we) can make bigger efforts to keep the focus on predicting Parkinson's, the PREDICT-PD study (predictpd.com) and related projects. 

The reason this blog was started was to help researchers, patients and the public understand how we use and weigh emerging research, which in turn informs our approach to our work on Parkinson's.

Take this study as an example... it looked at health insurance claims data from the USA over a 6 year period. The researchers looked at the link between claims for gout and subsequent claims for Parkinson's. They observed that, compared to people that made claims for other illnesses, people that claimed for gout were more likely to claim for Parkinson's in subsequent years. This in turn offers a weak suggestion that gout might be in some way linked with a higher risk of Parkinson's. However... we also know that this is only part of a much bigger story.

The biggest determinant of gout is the amount of a chemical in the blood known as uric acid. Generally speaking, people with higher levels of uric acid are more likely to have gout. It has also been noted on multiple occasions that people with Parkinson's tend to have lower levels of uric acid (both after diagnosis and in the years before)... which in turn has led to strategies to try and boost uric acid levels to treat Parkinson's (without introducing gout). 

So how does that make any sense at all?? High uric acid is associated with an increase in gout, gout is associated with an increase of Parkinson's, but Parkinson's is associated with low uric acid levels...?? We seem to be going in circles. 

But what if the explanation is simple... what if Parkinson's disease consumes uric acid and makes it look like low levels of uric acid are causing Parkinson's, when in fact it is the other way around? There have been similar examples in cancer where vitamin E was noted to be low in people that had prostate cancer, leading to the suggestion of supplementing vitamin E to reduce cancer. Instead the cancer rates appeared to increase... so it wasn't that low vitamin E was causing cancer... it was cancer consuming vitamin E and supplementing vitamin E only added more fuel to the fire.

If for some reason Parkinson's consumes uric acid, then gout may actually increase the risk of being diagnosed with Parkinson's and strategies to boost uric acid to treat or protect against Parkinson's may not lead to benefit and have the opposite effect...

Of course, this is speculation and certainly not the final say on the matter. Further research will likely reveal the truth over time...

- Alastair Noyce


BMC Neurol. 2019 Jan 5;19(1):4. doi: 10.1186/s12883-018-1234-x.
Singh JA, Cleveland JD.

BACKGROUND: In the presence of limited available data, our objective was to assess the association of gout with the risk of incident Parkinson's disease (PD) in adults 65 years or older.

METHODS: We used the 5% random sample of Medicare claims data from 2006 to 2012 to examine the association of gout with incident PD. The multivariable Cox regression model adjusted for demographics, comorbidity, and common cardiovascular disease and gout medications. We calculated hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). Sensitivity analyses adjusted for comorbidity categorically, or individually and for additional cardiovascular comorbidities.

RESULTS: In a cohort study, 1.72 million Medicare beneficiaries were eligible. The mean age was 75 years (standard deviation [SD], 7.6), 58% were female, 86% were White and 37% had Charlson-Romano comorbidity index score of ≥2. We found that 22,636 people developed incident PD, 1129 with gout and 21,507 without gout. The respective crude incidence rates of incident PD were 3.7 vs. 2.2 per 1000 person-years. We found that gout was associated with 1.14-times higher hazard ratio (95% CI, 1.07, 1.21) of PD in the main analysis; findings were confirmed in sensitivity analyses. We noted that the risk differed slightly by age; ages 65-75, 75-85 and > 85 had hazard ratios of incident PD with gout of 1.27 (95% CI, 1.16, 1.39), 1.07 (95% CI, 0.97, 1.16) and 0.97 (95% CI, 0.79, 1.20), respectively, but no gender or race differences were noted.

CONCLUSIONS: Gout was associated with a higher risk of incident PD in older adults, with the risk being significant in the age group 65-75 years. Future studies need to assess the mechanisms of this increased risk.